{"id":17262,"date":"2024-03-12T14:49:46","date_gmt":"2024-03-12T14:49:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/soicau4107.minhngocxoso.com\/kinh-nghiem-lo-de\/"},"modified":"2024-03-12T14:49:46","modified_gmt":"2024-03-12T14:49:46","slug":"tinh-xac-xuat-lo-de-chinh-xac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/xsmbsoicau3mien.com\/tinh-xac-xuat-lo-de-chinh-xac\/","title":{"rendered":"t\u00ednh x\u00e1c xu\u1ea9t l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c"},"content":{"rendered":"

T\u00cdNH X\u00c1C XU\u1ea8T L\u00d4 \u0110\u1ec0 CH\u00cdNH X\u00c1C<\/span><\/p>\n

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T\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o? M\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p t\u1eeb nhi\u1ec1u ngu\u1ed3n kh\u00e1c nhau v\u00e0 d\u1ef1a theo nhi\u1ec1u c\u01a1 s\u1edf khoa h\u1ecdc h\u00f4m nay xin \u0111\u00fac k\u1ebft t\u00ednh x\u00e1c xu\u1ea5t l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c.<\/b> <\/span><\/div>\n
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\"T\u00ednh<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
T\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

1. T\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang 1 con l\u00f4.<\/span><\/h2>\n

M\u00ecnh kh\u00f4ng t\u00ednh l\u00e0 tr\u00fang 2 ph\u00e1t, hay 3 ph\u00e1t. M\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 t\u00ednh tr\u00fang l\u00f4.<\/span>
\u0110\u00e1nh 1 con l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 tr\u00fang x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t = 1 – (X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t t\u1ea1ch l\u00f4) = 1 – 0,99^27 (quay 27 s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ec1u t\u1ea1ch) = 23,7657%<\/span><\/p>\n

2. T\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang 1 con \u0111\u1ec1.<\/span><\/h2>\n

Kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i t\u00ednh c\u0169ng bi\u1ebft l\u00e0 1% r\u1ed3i.<\/span><\/p>\n

3. T\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 2:<\/span><\/h2>\n

C\u00f3 hai tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p kh\u00f4ng tr\u00fang l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 2<\/b>: L\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng v\u1ec1 c\u1ea3 hai con v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 v\u1ec1 1 con.<\/span>
X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng v\u1ec1 c\u1ea3 hai con <\/b>= 0,98^27 = 57,957%.<\/span>
X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t ch\u1ec9 v\u1ec1 1 con:<\/b> Tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p n\u00e0y c\u00f3 2 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p l\u00e0 con th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 v\u00e0 con th\u1ee9 2 kh\u00f4ng v\u1ec1 v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i.<\/span>
=> X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t ch\u1ec9 v\u1ec1 1 con = 2 * x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang 1 l\u00f4 * x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng tr\u00fang l\u00f4 = 2 * 23,7657% * 0,99^27 = 36,238%.<\/span>
X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng tr\u00fang l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 2 <\/b>= X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng v\u1ec1 c\u1ea3 2 con + x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t ch\u1ec9 v\u1ec1 1 con = 57,957% + 36,238% = 94,195%.<\/span>
X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 2 <\/b>= 100% – X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng tr\u00fang = 100 – 94,195% = 5,8%<\/span><\/p>\n

4. T\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 3<\/span><\/h2>\n

T\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 v\u1edbi c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 2, nh\u01b0ng tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p kh\u00f4ng tr\u00fang l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 3 nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n n\u00ean t\u00ednh l\u00e2u h\u01a1n. C\u00e1ch t\u00ednh t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u1ee9 l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 2.<\/span>
X\u00e1c kh\u00f4ng tr\u00fang l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 3<\/b> = X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng v\u1ec1 c\u1ea3 3 con + x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t ch\u1ec9 v\u1ec1 1 con + x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t ch\u1ec9 v\u1ec1 2 con = 0,97^27 + 3 * 23,7675% * 0,98^27 + 3 * 5,8% * 0,99^27 = 98,527%<\/span>
=> X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 3<\/b> = 100% – 98,527% = 1,473% (d\u1ec5 h\u01a1n tr\u00fang \u0111\u1ec1 1 t\u00fd).<\/span><\/p>\n

5. T\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang \u0111\u1ec1 3 ch\u00e2n<\/span> = 0.1%<\/h2>\n

6. T\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang l\u00f4 3 ch\u00e2n<\/span> = 1- (0.999^27) = 2,67%<\/h2>\n

7. B\u00e0i to\u00e1n nu\u00f4i l\u00f4 :<\/span><\/h2>\n
Gi\u1ea3 s\u1eed ta \u0111\u00e1nh L\u00f4 trong n ng\u00e0y li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp. H\u00e3y \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t ta tr\u00fang 1 l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea1t g\u1ea7n 100%.
Gi\u1ea3i<\/b>
G\u1ecdi A l\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn c\u1ed1 trong n ng\u00e0y, ta kh\u00f4ng tr\u00fang l\u1ea7n n\u00e0o.
G\u1ecdi B l\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn c\u1ed1 ta ch\u00fang \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 1 l\u1ea7n.
X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 ta tr\u01b0\u1ee3t c\u1ea3 27 con l\u00f4 trong d\u00e0n l\u00f4 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t ng\u00e0y l\u00e0: 0,99^27. Do \u0111\u00f3:

P(A) = 0,99^27n
P(B) = 1\u2212P(A) = 1\u22120,99^27n
P(B) > m \u21d4 0,99^27n < 1\u2212m \u21d4 n > log0,99(1\u2212m)\/27

V\u1edbi m = 0,9999, ta c\u00f3: n > 33,9, t\u1ee9c l\u00e0 trong v\u00f2ng 34 ng\u00e0y th\u00ec x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t ta \u0111\u00e1nh tr\u00fang \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 1 l\u1ea7n l\u00e0 99,99%.
C\u00e1c b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p t\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 n\u00e0y v\u1edbi ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea l\u00f4 t\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh l\u00f4 r\u1ea5t hay: Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 x\u1ed5 s\u1ed1 ho\u1eb7c thong ke ket qua loto<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\"\" b\u1ea1ch th\u1ee7 l\u00f4 v\u00edp mb<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/h4>\n

\"\"b\u1ea1ch th\u1ee7 l\u00f4 2 nh\u00e1y v\u00edp mb<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\"song th\u1ee7 l\u00f4 v\u00edp mb<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\"b\u1ea1ch th\u1ee7 l\u00f4 k\u00e9p v\u00edp mb<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\"song th\u1ee7 l\u00f4 k\u00e9p v\u00edp mb<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\"b\u1ea1ch th\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec1 v\u00edp mb<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\"song th\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec1 v\u00edp mb<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\"d\u00e0n \u0111\u1ec1 4 s\u1ed1 v\u00edp mb<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\"d\u00e0n \u0111\u1ec1 6 s\u1ed1 v\u00edp mb<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\"d\u00e0n \u0111\u1ec1 8 s\u1ed1 v\u00edp mb<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\"d\u00e0n \u0111\u1ec1 10 s\u1ed1 v\u00edp mb<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\"d\u00e0n l\u00f4 4 s\u1ed1 v\u00edp mb<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\"\" <\/strong>d\u00e0n l\u00f4 6 s\u1ed1 v\u00edp mb<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/h4>\n

\"\" d\u00e0n l\u00f4 8 s\u1ed1 v\u00edp mb<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\"d\u00e0n l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 2 v\u00edp mb<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\" d\u00e0n l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 4 v\u00edp mb<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\" xsmb 3 c\u00e0ng v\u00edp mb<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\" d\u00e0n 3 c\u00e0ng 2 s\u1ed1 v\u00edp mb<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\" d\u00e0n l\u00f4 10 s\u1ed1 v\u00edp mb<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\" \u0111\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111u\u00f4i v\u00edp mb<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\" d\u00e0n l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 3 mi\u1ec1n b\u1eafc<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\"\" xsmn x\u1ec9u ch\u1ee7 v\u00edp mi\u1ec1n nam<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/h4>\n

\"\" gi\u1ea3i \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t v\u00edp mi\u1ec1n nam<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\"xsmn gi\u1ea3i 8 v\u00edp mi\u1ec1n nam<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\" xsmn bao l\u00f4 v\u00edp mi\u1ec1n nam<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\" c\u1eb7p x\u1ec9u ch\u1ee7 v\u00edp mi\u1ec1n nam<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\" song th\u1ee7 l\u00f4 v\u00edp mi\u1ec1n nam<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\" \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111u\u00f4i gi\u1ea3i 8 v\u00edp mn<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\" \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111u\u00f4i \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t v\u00edp mn<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\" xsmn l\u00f4 3 s\u1ed1 v\u00edp mi\u1ec1n nam<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\"\"x\u1ec9u ch\u1ee7 si\u00eau chu\u1ea9n v\u00edp mt<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\"xsmt gi\u1ea3i 8 v\u00edp mi\u1ec1n trung<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\" xsmt bao l\u00f4 v\u00edp mt<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\" c\u1eb7p x\u1ec9u ch\u1ee7 v\u00edp mt<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\" song th\u1ee7 l\u00f4 v\u00edp mt<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\" \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111u\u00f4i gi\u1ea3i 8 v\u00edp mt<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\" \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111u\u00f4i \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t mt<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\" xsmt l\u00f4 3 s\u1ed1 v\u00edp mt<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"\" gi\u1ea3i \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t mt<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kinh nghi\u1ec7m l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":17263,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[363],"tags":[390,389,391,386,382,265,147,392],"yoast_head":"\nt\u00ednh x\u00e1c xu\u1ea9t l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"t\u00ednh x\u00e1c xu\u1ea9t l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/xsmbsoicau3mien.com\/tinh-xac-xuat-lo-de-chinh-xac\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"t\u00ednh x\u00e1c xu\u1ea9t l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"t\u00ednh x\u00e1c xu\u1ea9t l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/xsmbsoicau3mien.com\/tinh-xac-xuat-lo-de-chinh-xac\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"soi cau lo vip mb - 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